Lightweight
Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse prediction
Dan Hooker 63.5% model pick · Salahdine Parnasse 36.5%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →UFC · Sep 5, 2026
CageMetrix model picks and win probabilities for UFC Paris, headlined by Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse. Every prediction is locked before the event and remains on the public record.
Win probabilities are model estimates, not betting odds. Technical statistics remain UFC-specific; verified pre-UFC résumé context may inform low-sample fighters.
FULL CARD
14 matchups with preserved model probabilities and fight-specific breakdowns.
Lightweight
Dan Hooker 63.5% model pick · Salahdine Parnasse 36.5%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Lightweight
Fares Ziam 59.0% model pick · Axel Sola 41.0%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Middleweight
Michael Page 72.6% model pick · Nursulton Ruziboev 27.4%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Welterweight
Daniil Donchenko 48.0% · Punahele Soriano 52.0% model pick
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Featherweight
Kurtis Campbell 46.2% · Trevor Peek 53.8% model pick
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Featherweight
Losene Keita 64.2% model pick · Muhammad Naimov 35.8%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Featherweight
Morgan Charriere 32.4% · Felipe Lima 67.6% model pick
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Heavyweight
Mario Pinto 70.8% model pick · Ryan Spann 29.2%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Light Heavyweight
Oumar Sy 54.1% model pick · Modestas Bukauskas 45.9%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Featherweight
Nathaniel Wood 64.6% model pick · Pavel Andrusca 35.4%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Flyweight
Michael Aljarouj 50.0% · Fabia Sintes 50.0%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Women's Bantamweight
Nora Cornolle 49.4% · Klaudia Sygula 50.6% model pick
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Middleweight
Matthieu Duclos 47.6% · Luis Felipe Dias 52.4% model pick
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →Women's Strawweight
Delphine Benouaich 50.0% · Sofia Montenegro 50.0%
Locked CageMetrix Predictor 0.2.1 win probability.
Prediction, stats & model explanation →